Live Prediction Timeline
The first product that connects prediction market price movements to in-game events. See why the line just moved.
The Problem
Right now, if you're watching a game and tracking markets, you see:
A Polymarket contract price drops from $0.65 to $0.42 in 3 minutes
A sportsbook live spread shifts from -3.5 to +1.5
No explanation of why
You have to manually cross-reference play-by-play, figure out what happened (star player injury? 10-0 run? key turnover?), and decide if the market overreacted. That takes expertise and speed most people don't have.
What We're Building
An annotated timeline for every game that fuses three data streams into one view:
Market Prices
Real-time Polymarket and Kalshi contract prices plotted against game clock
Game Events
Play-by-play annotations pinned at moments of significant odds movement
Historical Context
"Teams trailing by 10+ at the half come back 34% of the time (NBA, last 5 seasons)"
Example Annotation
LAL -8 run in 2:14
Spread: -3.5 → -6.5 | Polymarket: $0.55 → $0.68
SharpTick Take: Market overreacted. DEN's 4th-quarter comebacks are 6-2 this season.
Data Sources
Polymarket
Contract prices
Kalshi
Event contracts
ESPN
Play-by-play
Odds API
40+ sportsbooks
Get Early Access
Be first to try the Live Prediction Timeline when it launches. We'll notify you.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.