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⚾ MLB·American LeagueCentral

Cleveland Guardians

92-69 · CLE

Overall Record

92-69

57.1% win rate

ATS Record

50-41

54.9% cover rate

O/U Record

40-51

44.0% OVER

Division

Central

American League

Key Insights

📈

ATS Trend

Guardians are near 50/50 against the spread (54.9%) — public money is keeping lines honest.

🎯

Over/Under

UNDER has hit in 56.0% of Guardians games. Elite defense or slow pace consistently goes UNDER.

💡

Sharp Angle

The Cleveland Guardians (50-41 ATS) offer positive expected value against the spread. Monitor line movement to find optimal entry points.

Relevant Trends

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🏀 NBAO/U📊 Moderate Edge

Cavaliers UNDER hits 63% in back-to-back situations

Record

12-7

Win Rate

63.2%

n=19 games2025-26 season
⚾ MLBO/U📊 Moderate Edge

UNDER hit in 58% of games played in Colorado in 2025

Record

37-27

Win Rate

57.8%

n=64 games2025 season (final)
⚾ MLBO/U📊 Moderate Edge

First-half UNDER hit 58% when starting pitcher had ERA under 2.80 in 2025

Record

82-59

Win Rate

58.2%

n=141 games2025 season (final)
⚾ MLBML📉 Slight Edge

Road favorites under -130 were 189-162 ML in 2025 — profitable long term

Record

189-162

Win Rate

53.8%

n=351 games2025 season (final)
⚾ MLBML📊 Moderate Edge

Pitchers making first start after 10+ days rest had ERA avg 0.8 higher in 2025

Record

38-48

Win Rate

44.2%

n=86 games2025 season (final)

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