Buffalo Bills
13-4 · BUF
Overall Record
13-4
76.5% win rate
ATS Record
10-7
58.8% cover rate
O/U Record
9-8
52.9% OVER
Division
East
AFC
Key Insights
ATS Trend
Bills are covering the spread at a 58.8% clip — one of the best marks in the NFL.
Over/Under
Bills are 50/50 on the total (52.9% OVER). No strong systemic lean either direction.
Sharp Angle
The Buffalo Bills (10-7 ATS) offer positive expected value against the spread. Monitor line movement to find optimal entry points.
Relevant Trends
Browse all →NFL road favorites of 7+ pts were 23-31 ATS since 2020
Record
23-31
Win Rate
42.6%
Teams scoring 30+ pts in previous game were 28-19 ATS next week
Record
28-19
Win Rate
59.6%
UNDER hits 62% when both teams have top-10 defenses
Record
47-29
Win Rate
61.8%
Divisional underdogs covered 54% of the time in the regular season
Record
156-132
Win Rate
54.2%
Bills finished 10-7 ATS — Josh Allen MVP candidate fueled edges (2025-26 final)
Record
10-7
Win Rate
58.8%
Total OVER hit 57% in cold-weather divisional games (under 35°F)
Record
39-29
Win Rate
57.4%